Saturday, August 24, 2013
Silver – A Change In Behavior. Enough For A Bottom?
Michael Noonan
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Sunday, August 4th
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One of the largest issues many have with technical analysis is linking an understanding of their fundamental "beliefs" with prices on a chart. By fundamental, we include simply the knowledge of any number of known factors, shortages, record buying of coins, people generally positive about the "news," as a few simple examples. There is a need for a hand-to-eye type of association between existing fundamental "beliefs" and current prices.
Beliefs are formed opinions about reality, but not necessarily reality itself. Change the belief, and you change the reality. The current wide-spread belief is that there is a huge shortage in silver, relative to the demand. From that belief an expectation of higher prices arises. The reality is, for whatever reason, price has declined to levels that have surprised almost all who follow the silver market, and gold, as well.
Technical analysis is a measure different from fundamental analysis. We will depart even more by qualifying our approach as a specialized subset of technical analysis. How so? We read price and volume behavior, over time, in the form of developing market activity. It is what one sees on a chart, price ranges, close locations, volume, time factor[s], but no more.
We do not use artificial tools like Relative Strength, Fibonacci, Bollinger Bands, MACD, Elliott Wave, even moving averages. From our view, they are past tense information being imposed upon present tense activity with the expectation of divining the future.
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
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